ALP support drops after Dunkley by-election: ALP 51.5% cf. L-NP 48.5%

Support for the ALP has decreased 2% to 51.5% ahead of the Coalition on 48.5% (up 2%) on a two-party preferred basis. If a Federal Election were held now the Albanese Government would likely be re-elected but forced into minority government with the support of minor parties and independents the latest Roy Morgan survey shows.

There was a swing to the Coalition in all six States with the biggest swings in Victoria. The swing to the Coalition came after Victoria’s mid-year financial report showed Victoria’s government debt had increased by around $12 billion to more than $126 billion – and with that number set to double in the next three years according to global ratings agency S&P.

Primary support for Coalition increased 1.5% to 38% while support for the ALP was down 2% to 32%.

Support for the Greens dropped 0.5% to 13%, One Nation support increased 0.5% to 4%, support for Independents was up 0.5% to 9% and support for Other Parties was unchanged at 4%.

The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,714 Australian electors from March 4-10, 2024.

Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.

For detailed analysis such as by States, capital cities/country areas, age, gender, occupation and education contact Julian McCrann on (03) 9224 5365 or email julian.mccrann@roymorgan.com.

For further comment or more information contact:
Michele Levine 0411 129 093 or Gary Morgan 0411 129 094 or email askroymorgan@roymorgan.com.

About Roy Morgan

Roy Morgan is Australia’s largest independent Australian research company, with offices in each state, as well as in the U.S. and U.K. A full-service research organisation, Roy Morgan has over 80 years’ experience collecting objective, independent information on consumers.