April 29, 2025
The Role of Trust and Distrust in the 2025 Federal Election Webinar
Topic: Press Release
Finding No: 9890
Join Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine to learn why the 2025 Federal Election will be decided by distrust rather than trust. In this compelling webinar, Michele will reveal:
- Why this will be ‘The Distrust Election’: Driven more by distrust than traditional electoral support.
- Who Australians distrust more: Prime Minister Anthony Albanese or Opposition Leader Peter Dutton?
- How cost-of-living pressures and economic uncertainty are intensifying the political battle.
- Why authenticity matters: The surprising politicians Australians actually trust (and why).
- Why distrust matters: How distrust changes voter behaviour and reshapes election outcomes.
- Could Trump be the wildcard? What unexpected decision or external shock could swing the election result?
Discover the reshaping of Australia’s political landscape—and what it means for Election Day.
Margin of Error
The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. Margin of error gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.
| Sample Size | Percentage Estimate |
| 40% – 60% | 25% or 75% | 10% or 90% | 5% or 95% | |
| 1,000 | ±3.0 | ±2.7 | ±1.9 | ±1.3 |
| 5,000 | ±1.4 | ±1.2 | ±0.8 | ±0.6 |
| 7,500 | ±1.1 | ±1.0 | ±0.7 | ±0.5 |
| 10,000 | ±1.0 | ±0.9 | ±0.6 | ±0.4 |
| 20,000 | ±0.7 | ±0.6 | ±0.4 | ±0.3 |
| 50,000 | ±0.4 | ±0.4 | ±0.3 | ±0.2 |
