Roy Morgan Federal voting intention poll is unchanged this week: ALP 51% cf. L-NP 49%
The ALP on 51% is ahead of the Coalition on 49% on a two-party preferred basis (both unchanged on a week ago) according to the latest Roy Morgan Federal voting intention poll conducted over the last week.
The primary vote of both major parties weakened slightly with the Coalition now on 37%, down 0.5% from a week ago, but still well ahead of the ALP on 30.5%, down 2%.
The Greens are up 1.5% to 14% and One Nation is unchanged on 5%. Support for Independents dropped 1% to 7.5%, but support increased 2% to 6% for Other Parties.
The latest Roy Morgan survey is based on interviewing a representative cross-section of 1,719 Australian electors from December 4-10, 2023.
Further details will be released in Roy Morgan’s weekly video update presented by Roy Morgan CEO Michele Levine.
For detailed analysis such as by States, capital cities/country areas, age, gender, occupation and education contact Julian McCrann on (03) 9224 5365 or email meljm@roymorgan.com.
For further comment or more information contact:
Michele Levine 0411 129 093 or Gary Morgan 0411 129 094 or email askroymorgan@roymorgan.com.
About Roy Morgan
Margin of Error
The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. Margin of error gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.
| Sample Size | Percentage Estimate |
| 40% – 60% | 25% or 75% | 10% or 90% | 5% or 95% | |
| 1,000 | ±3.0 | ±2.7 | ±1.9 | ±1.3 |
| 5,000 | ±1.4 | ±1.2 | ±0.8 | ±0.6 |
| 7,500 | ±1.1 | ±1.0 | ±0.7 | ±0.5 |
| 10,000 | ±1.0 | ±0.9 | ±0.6 | ±0.4 |
| 20,000 | ±0.7 | ±0.6 | ±0.4 | ±0.3 |
| 50,000 | ±0.4 | ±0.4 | ±0.3 | ±0.2 |
