AFL supporter bases boom in 2020/21 as lockdowns keep people at home and ‘glued’ to the action on TV
The Sydney Swans have again topped the annual Roy Morgan AFL supporter ladder as the only club with over 1 million supporters. The Swans now have 1.031 million supporters, an increase of 27,000 supporters (+2.7%) on a year ago according to the 2021 annual Roy Morgan AFL club supporters survey.
Although the last 18 months have been the most complicated in the history of the AFL with changing restrictions and border closures upending scheduling and sending clubs all over the country, often to play in empty stadiums without any spectators, they have proved a boon for club support.
Almost all the AFL’s 18 clubs experienced a rise in support during the year to June 2021 compared to a year earlier and some of the biggest increases have come for teams enjoying success during the last two years. The clubs to experience the largest rise in support include Grand Finalists the Western Bulldogs and Melbourne, 2019-2020 Premiers Richmond and two of the most consistent performers during 2020 and 2021 the Brisbane Lions and Port Adelaide.
Over 8.8 million Australians now support an AFL club, up over 1.3 million on a year ago
Although COVID-19 has played havoc with scheduling throughout the last two years there are now more people than ever before, 8,857,000, expressing support for an AFL club, an increase of 1,335,000 (+17.7%) on a year ago. In addition, there are 7,580,000 Australians who watched an AFL match on TV, down 81,000 (-1.1%) on a year ago.
AFL Club Supporter Ladder 2021
Source: Roy Morgan Single Source, July 2019-June 2020, n=54,279 and July 2020-June 2021 n=64,973. Base: Australians 14+.
Expansion clubs GWS Giants & Gold Coast Suns have largest increases in support in 2021
The two expansion clubs who joined the AFL around a decade ago experienced the largest increases in support during the COVID-interrupted seasons of 2020/21. Support for the GWS Giants increased 90,000 (+54.5%) to 255,000 while support for the Gold Coast Suns was up 48,000 (+75%) to 112,000.
Despite the impressive increases for the Giants and Suns these two clubs remain amongst the three least supported clubs in the AFL.
This year’s two Grand Finalists are almost level-pegging in terms of support with Melbourne having 290,000 supporters, up 55,000 (+23.4%) on a year ago, just ahead of the Western Bulldogs on 289,000, but following a larger increase of 89,000 (+44.5%) compared to 2020.
Melbourne and the Western Bulldogs are two of only three clubs in Victoria to have fewer than 300,000 supporters and will be hoping a Grand Final victory on Saturday delivers them not only a Premiership, but a sustained increase in supporters. Melbourne is the club with the longest Premiership drought of any club in the AFL having not won a Flag since 1964 – 57 years ago.
Two-time defending Premier Richmond has also been a big winner over the last year following their success on the field with 560,000 supporters, an increase of 113,000 (+25.3%) on a year ago.
However, the biggest increase in supporter numbers over the last year goes to the Brisbane Lions who added an exceptional 152,000 supporters (+25.6%) to a total of 746,000 to be in equal third place overall with the West Coast Eagles, up 24,000 (+3.3%). The Brisbane Lions were one of the biggest beneficiaries of the COVID-19 impacted 2020 season with a majority of AFL matches in 2020 played in their home State – including the 2020 AFL Grand Final.
Despite a disappointing year on the field and finishing with a record low ladder position of 17th, it is again Collingwood which is easily the most widely supported Victorian club with 777,000 supporters, an increase of 44,000 (+6%) on a year ago.
AFL Supporter Conversion to Membership Rates
% of supporters who are members | Roy Morgan Supporter Numbers | Official 2021 AFL Club Memberships* | |
North Melbourne Kangaroos | 21.7% | 214,000 | 46,357 |
Richmond Tigers | 18.8% | 560,000 | 105,084 |
Port Adelaide Power | 18.7% | 302,000 | 56,532 |
Melbourne Demons | 18.3% | 290,000 | 53,188 |
Gold Coast Suns | 17.4% | 112,000 | 19,460 |
Hawthorn Hawks | 16.9% | 457,000 | 77,079 |
St. Kilda Saints | 16.4% | 340,000 | 55,802 |
Western Bulldogs | 16.1% | 289,000 | 46,541 |
Carlton Blues | 15.4% | 529,000 | 81,302 |
Fremantle Dockers | 15.3% | 329,000 | 50,342 |
West Coast Eagles | 14.3% | 746,000 | 106,422 |
Essendon Bombers | 12.5% | 653,000 | 81,662 |
Geelong Cats | 12.4% | 566,000 | 70,293 |
GWS Giants | 11.8% | 255,000 | 30,185 |
Collingwood Magpies | 10.6% | 777,000 | 82,527 |
Adelaide Crows | 9.1% | 661,000 | 60,232 |
Brisbane Lions | 5.4% | 746,000 | 40,289 |
Sydney Swans | 4.9% | 1,031,000 | 50,144 |
TOTAL | 12.6% | 8,857,000 | 1,113,441 |
*Full AFL Membership Figures available at:
https://www.afl.com.au/news/659242/2021-afl-club-membership-breaks-all-time-record
North Melbourne, Richmond, Port Adelaide and Melbourne are best at converting supporters
Although it is no surprise to see the traditionally well-supported clubs such as the Sydney Swans, West Coast and Collingwood at the top of the overall AFL club supporter ladder, a key metric for AFL clubs is their ability to convert their latent supporters into financial members that directly benefit the clubs.
Despite many members not being able to attend matches during 2020-21 AFL club memberships increased by 12% in 2021 with a record of over 1.1 million Australians taking out memberships. The table below ranks clubs based on how effective they are at converting their supporters into financial members based on dividing the (official AFL club memberships divided by Roy Morgan supporter numbers) x 100.
On this important metric it is the supporters of Wooden Spooners North Melbourne who have proven to be the most loyal to their club despite finishing last for the first time in nearly fifty years and is the only club converting over 20% of their supporters into members.
Recent three-time Premiers Richmond, which is one of only two clubs with over 100,000 paid-up members, comes in second with an excellent conversion rate of 18.8% of its supporters into members. 2020 ‘Minor’ Premiers Port Adelaide is in third place converting an impressive 18.7% of its supporters into members just ahead of 2021 ‘Minor’ Premiers Melbourne with a conversion rate of 18.3%.
Also converting supporters into members at a rate of over one-in-six is one of the newest clubs in the league the Gold Coast Suns (17.4% conversion rate) and the most successful club of the AFL era Hawthorn (16.9%).
Julian McCrann, Industry Communications Director, Roy Morgan, says despite the challenges of running an AFL season during the COVID-19 pandemic the fans are jumping on board at record levels with over 8.8 million Australians now supporting an AFL club:
“The last 18 months have been very tough for footy supporters with limited opportunities for many to attend matches, however that hasn’t hurt the club support which has soared to a record high. In 2021 a record of 8.86 million Australians expressed support for at least one AFL club, an increase of 1.34 million (+17.7%) on a year ago.
“Victoria’s extended lockdowns during 2020, and again in 2021, have kept football fans watching games on the couch at home in the league’s most important market. Now 7.58 million Australians watched an AFL match on TV in the last year – equivalent to 36% of all Australians aged 14+.
“The biggest winners in terms of increasing their support over the last year are unsurprisingly the clubs that have enjoyed success on the field in the 2020 and 2021 seasons as well as the two newest clubs in the AFL.
“Both of the Grand Finalists have seen a big uplift in support from a year ago led by the Western Bulldogs, up 89,000 (+44.5%) to a supporter base of 289,000 to be just behind their opponent this week at Perth Stadium, Melbourne, who lifted their support by 55,000 (+23.4%) to 290,000.
“There were also surges in support for two-time defending Premiers Richmond who increased their support by 113,000 (+25.3%) to 560,000. As well as having a fast-growing supporter base on the back of Premierships in 2017, 2019 and 2020, Richmond is also one of the best clubs at converting their supporters to members with a conversion rate of 18.8% delivering a total club membership of over 105,000 – a conversion rate second only to North Melbourne.
“Although neither club has managed to win through to a Grand Final in the last few years both the Brisbane Lions and Port Adelaide have finished top four in each of the last two years – and seen big increases in support on the back of excellent performances on the field.
“The Brisbane Lions added a competition leading 152,000 (+25.6%) supporters over the past year to draw level with the West Coast Eagles with 746,000 supporters in equal third place overall. Port Adelaide added 67,000 (+28.5%) supporters to reach 302,000 supporters in 2021.
“Although success is a big part of increasing support, there is also a benefit for clubs when top-level content is provided on a weekly, or even daily, basis for potential supporters. The Gold Coast Suns are the only AFL club never to play in a finals series but after two seasons with many extra AFL matches played in their home market the club has seen a big increase in support, up 46,000 (75%) to 112,000.
“The GWS Giants have enjoyed more success than their northern counterparts contesting five our of the last six finals series and winning at least one final in each of those five years, however they are yet to experience the ultimate success of winning a Premiership. Nevertheless, their consistent performances are being rewarded off the field with their supporter base increasing by 90,000 (+54.5%) to 255,000 – a new record high for the AFL’s youngest club.
“Looking forward the AFL will be hoping the 2022 season will not present as many challenges in putting on a regular season as we have seen in 2020-21. Although the last two years have been incredibly tough for the league the ability to find a way to keep the schedule rolling through the season despite the disruptions has been appreciated by millions of football supporters around Australia – including this one.
“The success of the AFL in building its supporter base during this period is a tribute to the strength, durability and agility of the code throughout a once-in-a-century pandemic.”
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Margin of Error
The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. Margin of error gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.
Sample Size | Percentage Estimate |
40% – 60% | 25% or 75% | 10% or 90% | 5% or 95% | |
1,000 | ±3.0 | ±2.7 | ±1.9 | ±1.3 |
5,000 | ±1.4 | ±1.2 | ±0.8 | ±0.6 |
7,500 | ±1.1 | ±1.0 | ±0.7 | ±0.5 |
10,000 | ±1.0 | ±0.9 | ±0.6 | ±0.4 |
20,000 | ±0.7 | ±0.6 | ±0.4 | ±0.3 |
50,000 | ±0.4 | ±0.4 | ±0.3 | ±0.2 |