Roy Morgan Research
April 28, 2020

ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence increases for fourth straight week, up 0.8pts to 85.0

Topic: Consumer Confidence, Press Release
Finding No: 8385

Confidence has strengthened for the fourth week running, though the gain of 1% to 85.0 was much smaller than over the prior three weeks. Reflecting this loss of momentum, the performance of the sub-indices was mixed.

Current financial conditions

  • Now 19% (down 1ppt) of Australians say their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time last year and 40% (down 1ppt) say their families are ‘worse off’ financially.

Future financial conditions

  • 30% (down 6ppts), expect their family to be ‘better off’ financially this time next year compared to 22% (down 2ppts) that expect to be ‘worse off’ financially.

Current economic conditions

  • Just 6% (up 1ppt) expect ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next 12 months while 48% (down 6ppts) expect ‘bad times’.

Future financial conditions

  • And in the longer term, 15% (down 1ppt) of Australians are expecting ‘good times’ for the Australian economy over the next five years compared to 23% (up 5ppts) expecting ‘bad times’.

Time to buy a major household item

  • In addition now 25% (down 3ppts) of Australians say now is a ‘good time to buy’ major household items, while 38% (down 9ppts) of Australians say now is a ‘bad time to buy’.

The four-week moving average for ‘inflation expectations’ fell 0.1ppt to 3.7%. The weekly reading bumped to 3.6% from 3.1%.

ANZ Head of Australian Economics, David Plank, commented:

Block Quote

“Confidence is showing signs of consolidation after the strong gains of the prior three weeks. It remains well below average, however, as do all of the subcomponents. We are at an important stage in Australia’s response to the pandemic, with a number of states relaxing some restrictions. If successful, that could set the stage for a further gain in consumer sentiment. Unfortunately , confidence is likely to be challenged by the publication of some very negative economic data over the coming month, after a period in which the data has not caught up with the severity of the economic impact from the lockdowns..”

Related Research Reports

The latest Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report is available on the Roy Morgan Online Store. It provides demographic breakdowns for Age, Sex, State, Region (Capital Cities/ Country), Generations, Lifecycle, Socio-Economic Scale, Work Status, Occupation, Home Ownership, Voting Intention, Roy Morgan Value Segments and more

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Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. Margin of error gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate.

Sample Size Percentage Estimate
40% – 60% 25% or 75% 10% or 90% 5% or 95%
1,000 ±3.0 ±2.7 ±1.9 ±1.3
5,000 ±1.4 ±1.2 ±0.8 ±0.6
7,500 ±1.1 ±1.0 ±0.7 ±0.5
10,000 ±1.0 ±0.9 ±0.6 ±0.4
20,000 ±0.7 ±0.6 ±0.4 ±0.3
50,000 ±0.4 ±0.4 ±0.3 ±0.2

Related Findings

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