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Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence virtually unchanged in April (149.9, down 0.7pts)

The monthly Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating is based on 2,146 face-to-face interviews conducted throughout Indonesia, not just a handful of cities. The survey includes the Top 22 cities, smaller cities and towns as well as many more villages in the rural hinterland, reflecting all of Indonesia. Men and women aged 14 and over were randomly selected during the month of April 2016.

Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence for April fell slightly to 149.9 (down 0.7pts). Consumer Confidence is now 4.3pts higher than it was a year ago in April 2015 (145.6) and it is 16.9pts above the long-run average (2005-2016) of 132.3.

The main reason for this month’s small fall in confidence was less confidence about personal financial situations over the next 12 months.

Now 41% (up 2ppts) of Indonesians said their families are ‘better off’ financially than this time a year ago (the highest for this indicator since August 2015) compared to 13% (up 1ppt) that said their families are ‘worse off’ financially.

However now 69% (down 3ppts) of Indonesians expect their family will be ‘better off’ financially this time next year compared to 5% (up 2ppts) that expect to be ‘worse off’ financially.

In terms of the Indonesian economy now 81% (up 1ppt) of Indonesians expect Indonesia will have ‘good times’ financially during the next 12 months and 19% (down 1ppt) say we’ll have ‘bad times’ financially.

Additionally, now 89% (down 1ppt) of Indonesians expect Indonesia will have ‘good times’ economically over the next five years and only 11% (up 1ppt) expect ‘bad times’ economically.

Now well over half, 57% (unchanged) of Indonesians say ‘now is a good time to buy’ major household items (still the equal highest number recorded for this indicator for over a year since March 2015) and 40% (unchanged) say ‘now is a bad time to buy’ major household items (still the equal lowest number recorded for this indicator for over a year since March 2015).

Debnath Guharoy, Roy Morgan Regional Director, Asia, says:

"No change from the previous month reflects the state of the real economy. ‎Infrastructure development continues to keep spirits high but the lack of new growth stories is taking its toll on short-term confidence.”

The monthly Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating is based on 2,146 face-to-face interviews conducted throughout Indonesia, not just a handful of cities. The survey includes the Top 22 cities, smaller cities and towns as well as many more villages in the rural hinterland, reflecting all of Indonesia. Men and women aged 14 and over were randomly selected during the month of April 2016.


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Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Rating - April 2016 - 149.9

Click to view the latest Roy Morgan Indonesian Consumer Confidence Release PDF - April 2016.


Latest ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Releases

Latest Roy Morgan Indonesian & ANZ-Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Data Tables

Related Research Reports

The latest Roy Morgan Consumer Confidence Monthly Report is available on the Roy Morgan Online Store. It provides demographic breakdowns for Age, Sex, State, Region (Capital Cities/ Country), Generations, Lifecycle, Socio-Economic Scale, Work Status, Occupation, Home Ownership, Voting Intention, Roy Morgan Value Segments and more.

You can also view our monitor of Monthly Australian Unemployment & Under-employment Estimates.


Margin of Error

The margin of error to be allowed for in any estimate depends mainly on the number of interviews on which it is based. The following table gives indications of the likely range within which estimates would be 95% likely to fall, expressed as the number of percentage points above or below the actual estimate. The figures are approximate and for general guidance only, and assume a simple random sample. Allowance for design effects (such as stratification and weighting) should be made as appropriate. 

Sample Size

Percentage Estimate

 

40%-60%

25% or 75%

10% or 90%

5% or 95%

1,000

±3.0

±2.7

±1.9

±1.4

2,000

±2.2

±1.9

±1.3

±1.0